Real Estate Information Archive

Strong December Caps 2021 As Busiest Home-Buying Year in Report History

DENVER — Near-record December home sales cemented 2021 as the busiest year for home buying in the 14-year history of the report, while also setting records for smallest inventory and highest average home prices. On an annual basis, 2021 finished with nearly 10% more home sales than the previous record year of 2020.

Across the 51 metro areas in the report, December 2021 home sales were the second highest for the month in report history, trailing only December 2020. Despite the strength in home sales, December sales defied recent month-over-month moves. December 2021 home sales were actually down 0.8% from November, which had an unusually high total. In contrast, the November-to-December average change for the five-year period from 2015-2019 was an increase of 3.5%.

“December capped a fantastic year for home sales. After a busy 2020, we expected 2021 to be even better – and it was,” said Nick Bailey, President and CEO, RE/MAX, LLC. “Buyers shrugged off all sorts of potential obstacles – high prices, record-low inventory, stiff competition for available listings – and kept things rolling the entire year.”

“The story of housing in 2021 was centered around high demand that led to a substantial increase in sales despite ultra-low supply. What’s promising for 2022 is that many of the factors which drove record sales in 2021 remain in place. Interest rates are still attractive, workplace flexibility continues, and many homeowners are sitting on a mountain of equity. If more of them become sellers, there’s ample reason to think the hot streak will continue. The past two years have proven that buyers are out there and ready to go.”

December home transactions could have been even stronger had it not been for record-low inventory. The year 2021 ended with the smallest number of homes for sale in the 14-year history of the report. December inventory dropped 23.6% from November – the previous record low – and 33.3% year over year. The 10 months with the lowest inventory in report history all occurred in 2021.

December’s 1.2 Months Supply of Inventory was an all-time low and tied the report record set in May 2021. There were two months supply of inventory a year ago. Homes spent an average of 31 days on the market in December – two more than November, but seven less than a year ago.

At the same time, December’s Median Sales Price of $335,000 was up 1.4% over November and 11.5% year over year. The November-to-December increase is slightly higher than the 1.2% average for the five-year period from 2015-2019. While the highest average sale price of the year typically is reached in early or mid-summer, October’s $340,000 was the highest in 2021 and in report history.

Highlights and the local markets leading various metrics for December include:

Closed Transactions 
Of the 51 metro areas surveyed in December 2021, the overall average number of home sales is down 0.8% compared to November 2021, and down 6.9% compared to December 2020. The markets with the biggest decrease in year-over-year sales percentage were San Francisco, CA at -21.9%, Manchester, NH at -17.6%, and Atlanta, GA at -17.1%. Leading the year-over-year sales percentage increase were Wilmington/Dover, DE at +8.9%, Billings, MT at +8.3%, and Boise, ID at +8.2%.

Median Sales Price – Median of 51 metro median prices
In December 2021, the median of all 51 metro Median Sales Prices was $335,000, up 1.4% compared to November 2021, and up 11.5% from December 2020. No metro areas saw a year-over-year decrease in Median Sales Price while 32 metro areas increased year-over-year by double-digit percentages, led by Phoenix, AZ at +28.4%, Tampa, FL at +25.7%, and Raleigh-Durham, NC at +25.3%.

Days on Market – Average of 51 metro areas
The average Days on Market for homes sold in December 2021 was 31, up two days from the average in November 2021, and down seven days from the average in December 2020. The metro areas with the lowest Days on Market were Nashville, TN at 13, Cincinnati, OH at 16, and Omaha, NE at 18. The highest Days on Market averages were in Des Moines, IA at 92, Miami, FL at 76, and New York, NY at 71. Days on Market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.

Months Supply of Inventory – Average of 51 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in December 2021 was down 23.6% from November 2021 and down 33.3% from December 2020. Based on the rate of home sales in December 2021, the Months Supply of Inventory decreased to 1.2 compared to 1.4 in November 2021, and decreased compared to 2.0 in December 2020. A six months supply indicates a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. In December 2021, of the 51 metro areas surveyed, zero metro areas reported a months supply at or over six, which is typically considered a buyer’s market. The markets with the lowest Months Supply of Inventory were Salt Lake City, UT at 0.4, and a three-way tie between Albuquerque, NM, Denver, CO, and Seattle, WA at 0.5.

Feel free to contact me and I can help break down exactly what these numbers mean for our local market and for your neighborhood. And lastly, If you or anyone you know is thinking of buying or selling a home - please call or email me. I'm here to help!

Peter Veres

Associate Broker,CRS,ABR,CLHMS,SRES

Elite Asset Management Team - RE/MAX Elite

www.PeteVeres.com

Cell: 505-362-2005

Median Price Drops 3% Amid Seasonally Cooling Home Sales and Record Low Inventory

DENVER, Dec. 17, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- The historically strong housing market continued to surge forward in November, as buyers gobbled up available homes seemingly as soon as they hit the market. Buyers finally saw some welcome relief on prices, with November's Median Sales Price dropping 2.9% to $330,000 – the largest monthly decline since the pandemic began. And home sales declined only 4.9% from October, far less than the normal seasonal decrease of 12.0% this time of year. Adding to the complex conditions, the number of homes for sale fell to a new low in the 14-year history of the report, declining 17.7% from October.

Overall, November generally followed seasonal trends while at the same time setting records for the month of November in almost every category, such as the fewest average number of days homes were listed before selling. While November's average of 29 days was two more than October's, it was only the sixth month in report history with an average below 30. All six months have occurred consecutively, starting with June 2021.

"The market is roaring along, with only half the seasonal slowdown we typically see from October to November," said Nick Bailey, President, RE/MAX, LLC. "The small drop in prices is great news for buyers, and it could be an early sign of some balance coming back into the market.

"The lack of available inventory continues to be a challenge, but 2021 has been a very strong year for home sales. That says a lot about the resiliency of the housing market and the importance of homeownership in people's lives. With work flexibility, low interest rates, generational factors and continued high demand, we're heading into 2022 with plenty of reasons to be optimistic."

November's Median Sales Price across the report's 51 metro areas dropped $10,000 below October's $340,000, falling 2.9%. That was the largest month-to-month drop since January 2020, when the median price declined 3.4%. And while price drops are typical in January, they are unusual in November. Based on report averages for the five-year period from 2015-2019 (excluding 2020 because of pandemic impacts), the median November price rose an average of 0.9%.

Other comparisons of note for the month of November 2021 relative to trends from 2015-2019 include:

• The five-year average for October-to-November home sales is a decline of 12.0%, more than twice the drop of 4.9% in November 2021.
• The five-year average for October-to-November inventory is a decline of 8.9%, slightly over half of the drop of 17.7% in November 2021.
• After dropping in January, prices typically rise each month from February through June, then decline each month from July through October. They generally rebound slightly in November and December. The first nine months of 2021 followed the 2015-2019 pattern before October posted an unusual 0.8% price increase, followed by November's uncommon decline.

Despite declining month over month, November's median home price was 11.9% higher than November 2020's $295,000 and marks the 35th consecutive month that home prices have risen year over year.

The 1.2 Months Supply of Inventory in November dropped from October's 1.4 and was only 0.1 of a month more than the report record of 1.1 set in March and matched in April, May and June.

Highlights and the local markets leading various metrics for November include:

Closed Transactions 
Of the 51 metro areas surveyed in November 2021, the overall average number of home sales is down 4.9% compared to October 2021, and down 0.1% compared to November 2020. The markets with the biggest decrease in year-over-year sales percentage were Billings, MT at -13.0%, San Antonio, TX at -11.4%, and San Diego, CA at -11.0%. Leading in year-over-year sales percentage increase were Honolulu, HI at +31.5%, Tulsa, OK at +13.4%, and Wilmington/Dover, DE at +12.7%.

Median Sales Price – Median of 51 metro median prices
In November 2021, the median of all 51 metro Median Sales Prices was $330,000, down 2.9% compared to October 2021, and up 11.9% from November 2020. No metro areas saw a year-over-year decrease in Median Sales Price. Thirty-nine metro areas increased year-over-year by double-digit percentages, led by Phoenix, AZ at +27.2%, Salt Lake City, UT at +25.3%, and Boise, ID at +24.8%.

Days on Market – Average of 51 metro areas
The average Days on Market for homes sold in November 2021 was 29, up two days from the average in October 2021, and down 8 days from the average in November 2020. The metro areas with the lowest Days on Market were Nashville, TN at 12, and a tie between Omaha, NE and Cincinnati, OH at 16. The highest Days on Market averages were in Des Moines, IA at 86, Miami, FL at 78, and New York, NY at 69. Days on Market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.

Months Supply of Inventory – Average of 51 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in November 2021 was down 17.7% from October 2021 and down 30.1% from November 2020. Based on the rate of home sales in November 2021, the Months Supply of Inventory decreased to 1.2 compared to 1.4 in October 2021, and decreased compared to 2.1 in November 2020. A six months supply indicates a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. In November 2021, of the 51 metro areas surveyed, zero metro areas reported a months supply at or over six, which is typically considered a buyer's market. The markets with the lowest Months Supply of Inventory were a tie between Denver, CO and Seattle, WA at 0.5, and another tie between Albuquerque, NM and Manchester, NH at 0.6.

Feel free to contact me and I can help break down exactly what these numbers mean for our local market and for your neighborhood. And lastly, If you or anyone you know is thinking of buying or selling a home - please call or email me. I'm here to help!

Peter Veres

Associate Broker,CRS,ABR,CLHMS,SRES

Elite Asset Management Team - RE/MAX Elite

www.PeteVeres.com

Cell: 505-362-2005