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RE/MAX National Housing Report for June 2019

by Elite Asset Management Team

June Sales Post Unusual Decline as Median Price Reaches All-Time High

 

 

 

DENVER – Typically the strongest month for home sales, June saw closings decline 4.7% from May and 7.8% from June 2018, according to the RE/MAX National Housing Report. Going in the opposite direction, June’s Median Sales Price of $276,000 was an all-time high in the 10-year history of the report.
 
June has recorded the most sales each of the last five years (July led 2013 sales). This is only the second June in report history to have fewer sales than May. With sales slowing, June inventory increased 1.3% over June 2018, marking the first year-over-year rise in June inventory in the report’s history. Moreover, inventory grew for the ninth consecutive month, and the report’s 54 metro areas had the most units for sale since August 2016.
 
“Record prices appear to have kept June sales figures from topping a strong May,” said RE/MAX CEO Adam Contos. “Nevertheless, there are indications, including the return of very favorable mortgage rates, that the pace could pick up in July. Several encouraging longer-term trends—ongoing demand, improving inventory levels, low interest rates—are helping the market make incremental progress on multiple fronts. But supply remains a concern, so we need more homes to be built.”

Starting in 2013, June has also produced the highest Median Sales Price of each year. June’s record $276,000 was 6.7% higher than the $259,000 recorded in June 2018.  June’s price increase accelerated compared to the prior three months, each of which had a year-over-price increase of less than 3.5%. Contos continued, “The jump in sales price after months of moderation is worth watching for its impact on affordability.”
 
June’s Days on Market total of 44 meant that sales happened three days faster than in May but took three days longer than June 2018. Months of Inventory in June 2019 was 2.8, the same as May’s and below June 2018’s 3.1.
 
Closed Transactions 
Of the 54 metro areas surveyed in June 2019, the overall average number of home sales is down 4.7% compared to May 2019, and down 7.8% compared to June 2018. Leading the month-over-month sales percentage increase were Burlington, VT at +21.8%; Boston, MA at +13.4%; and Hartford, CT at +13.1%.
 
Median Sales Price – Median of 54 metro median prices
In June 2019, the median of all 54 metro Median Sales Prices was $276,000, up 6.2% from May 2019, and up 6.7% from June 2018. Two metro areas saw a year-over-year decrease in Median Sales Price: San Francisco, CA at -2.0%, and Hartford, CT at -0.1%. Three metro areas increased year-over-year by double-digit percentages, with Boise, ID at +10.7%; Albuquerque, NM at +10.4%; and Philadelphia, PA at +10.0%.
 
Days on Market – Average of 54 metro areas
The average Days on Market for homes sold in June 2019 was 44, down three days from the average in May 2019, and up three days from the June 2018 average. The metro areas with the lowest Days on Market were Omaha, NE at 22; Denver, CO at 25; and Seattle, WA at 26. The highest Days on Market averages were in Augusta, ME at 108; Miami, FL at 82; and Hartford, CT at 74. Days on Market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.
 
Months Supply of Inventory – Average of 54 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in June 2019 was down 0.6% from May 2019 and up 1.3% from June 2018. Based on the rate of home sales in June 2019, the Months Supply of Inventory held steady at 2.8 from May 2019, and decreased compared to 3.1 in June 2018. A six months supply indicates a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. In June 2019, of the 54 metro areas surveyed, only Miami, FL at 7.0 reported a months supply at or over six, which is typically considered a buyer’s market. The markets with the lowest Months Supply of Inventory were Omaha, NE and Manchester, NH, both at 1.0, and Minneapolis, MN at 1.8.

Feel free to contact me and I can help break down exactly what these numbers mean for our local market and for your neighborhood. And lastly, If you or anyone you know is thinking of buying or selling a home - please call or email me. I'm here to help!

Peter Veres

Associate Broker,CRS,ABR,CLHMS,SRES

Elite Asset Management Team - RE/MAX Elite

www.PeteVeres.com

Cell: 505-362-2005

Home Price Appreciation Forecast

by Elite Asset Management Team

 

Questions continue to come up about where home prices will head throughout the rest of this year, as well as where they may be going over the few years beyond.

 

We’ve gathered current data from the industry’s most reliable sources to help answer these questions:

 

The Home Price Expectation Survey – A survey of over 100 market analysts, real estate experts, and economists conducted by Pulsenomics each quarter.

 

Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) – As the leading advocate for the real estate finance industry, the MBA enables members to successfully deliver fair, sustainable, and responsible real estate financing within ever-changing business environments.

 

Zelman & Associates – The firm leverages unparalleled housing market expertise, extensive surveys of industry executives, and rigorous financial analysis to deliver proprietary research and advice to leading global institutional investors and senior-level company executives.

 

Freddie Mac – An organization whose mission is to provide liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S. housing market in all economic conditions extending to all communities from coast to coast.

 

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) – The largest association of real estate professionals in the world.

 

Fannie Mae – A leading source of financing for mortgage lenders, providing access to affordable mortgage financing in all markets.

 

Here’s the home price appreciation these experts are projecting over the next few years:

 

 

Bottom Line

Every source sees home prices continuing to appreciate, which is great news for the strength of the market. The increase is steepest throughout the rest of 2019, and prices should continue to rise as we move through 2020 and beyond.

 

Meet with a realtor like Pete Veres, CRS – Certified Residential Specialist & ABR – Accredited Buyers and Seller Representative who can help you navigate thru the process and get the job done for you. He can provide you with a Free Market analysis when you are ready. Pete Veres has had over 25 years of Sales & Marketing experience, excellent negotiating skills and a superb track record.

You can contact him by calling or texting him at 505-362-2005 or by emailing him at [email protected]

He has a great website full of the latest information at www.NMElite.com

Here are also some Free Sellers resources. VIP-Seller-Resources

 

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